Development
is the key of a nation success. Development plays an important role in the
improving of peoples’ standee of living. Through the development and growth,
the living standard will be improved. Many of the literatures state that growth
has significant effect of economy. For the achievement of the Economic goal the
growth is compulsory. in 1950’s & 80’s a lot of the growing countries
understood the target growth standard of economic, but the people standard of
living is not changed, because the degree of poverty in that nation is higher,
the illiteracy is high, lack of health facilities. The effect of these things
is higher on Economic development
The growth story of the Pakistan is very remarkable throughout the development and growth time. The growth situation of the Pakistan mostly average annually increased. The average rate of the growth commonly touched the 5% increased annually from past sixty years. If looking to the per capita increase of the economy is 2.5% boost annually. Different sectors of country show increase in their production and the contribution in the economic development and growth, but the contribution of the manufacturing sector is very dynamic in the contribution to country economy. As comparing the Pakistan economy with South Asia economies, the economy of Pakistan is averagely increasing faster 2% from the south Asia in the time era of 1960s, 1970s and 1980s. but in from the time of 1993s the growth rate of the economy going down from the regional average level. After the Independence Day in 1947, in the two decades the growth rate of the Pakistan among the area of South Asia Pakistan has high level of growth rate, Pakistan can achieve highest growth rate among the area countries. As per the reported work of World Bank (200), the report exposed that Pakistan in the more exporter of Manufacturing products as compare to the Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Turkey and Philippians in the time period of 1965. But in the series of 1990s Pakistan is lowest growing and developing countries in era of South Asia. The role of the Pakistan is decrease and fall down more as compare to their own role in Pakistan. The commonness of poverty, which deteriorated from 46% in the mid-1960s to 18% in afterward 1980s increased to 34% by the late 1990s. The chief illustrative influence for this problem is the pattern change in the elementary model of growth carried about by Mr. Z.A Bhutto rapidly after pretentious control in 1971. His government nationalized all the main industrial businesses, banking sectors, insurance institutions, education etc. and formed a key disturbance to economy and an attrition of private stockholder sureness that persevered for the 2 decades. This experimentation with collectivism obligated a negative impression on industrial development and growth level, export growth, the excellence of education and contributed a predominant character to the officialdom in economic decision-making situation. The replacement of a philosophy of entrepreneurship, risk taking condition and innovation position of economy by rent looking for and benefaction repressed the private sector energy and vigor. The appearance of administrators as business bests armored the new culture. Along with different interferences in business and different trades activates of government and other government agencies effect the growth rate, also when the Bangladesh is separated from Pakistan it will affect highly on the economy. In the governmental time period of Zia ul haq regime the prospect to unfasten maximum of the harm finished by nationalization was misused. In its place of attractive practical measures to converse the state-owned and conquered economy the rule preserved status – quo. Though the track followed by their direct ancestor was not tracked and the procedure of nationalization was uncontrolled the privileged alignment to public sector ensured not moderate in any noticeable way. The economic presentation was imposing in this historical not owed to any important policy or institutional improvements. The government profited from the harvest that arose on torrent from great public-sector stashes complete in the 1970s, the greatest significant between them stayed the Tarbela Dam that further significantly to irrigation water accessibility and hydel power capacity, the enricher and cement industries.
According
to the study of IMF (2005), the study is conducted on the Pakistan economy for
45 years from the time of 1960 and 2004. The study highlights the importance
and significance of the rainfall in the area and the investment boost of the
peoples, they indicate that these both are the main determinant at the time of
increasing growth. This time period also reduces the low inflation from past.
Because in past the inflation rate of the country is very high. In 1974-77 the
inflation rate of country is 27% which is reduce to 7%. After that the
inflation is increased in 1994-1995 to 12% and then reduced it to 4% and so on.
As the World bank (2006), reported about the economy determinant of the
Pakistani economy and stated that the economy growth of Pakistani is possible
and boost with the help of improving the standard of education, increasing the
financial institutions and their performance, opening doors to different trades
and create a good infrastructure of public. It declines when governments
execute extreme loads on the private sector of country. Economic growth
declines when governments ensure not convey out strategies favorable to
macroeconomic constancy. An upsurge in the inflation rate, the instability of
the production gap, actual exchange rate over estimate or possibility of financial
disasters all prime to an important decrease in economic growth. The worsening
of world growth circumstances among the 1970s and 1980s directed to a reduction
in a nation’s growth rate of about 1.5 percentage points.
Correlation
Correlations |
||||
|
GDP |
IM |
EX |
|
GDP |
Pearson
Correlation |
1 |
.794** |
.875** |
Sig.
(2-tailed) |
|
.000 |
.000 |
|
N |
23 |
23 |
23 |
|
IM |
Pearson
Correlation |
.794** |
1 |
.964** |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
.000 |
|
.000 |
|
N |
23 |
23 |
23 |
|
EX |
Pearson
Correlation |
.875** |
.964** |
1 |
Sig.
(2-tailed) |
.000 |
.000 |
|
|
N |
23 |
23 |
23 |
|
**. Correlation is
significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). |
Regression
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Model |
R |
R Square |
Adjusted R Square |
Std. Error of the Estimate |
Durbin-Watson |
|
||||||||||||||||
1 |
.895a |
.801 |
.781 |
.3069105 |
1.605 |
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Model |
Sum of Squares |
df |
Mean Square |
F |
Sig. |
|
|||||||||||||||
|
1 |
Regression |
7.573 |
2 |
3.787 |
40.200 |
.000b |
|
||||||||||||||
|
Residual |
1.884 |
20 |
.094 |
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
|
Total |
9.457 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Model |
Unstandardized Coefficients |
Standardized Coefficients |
t |
Sig. |
|
|||||||||||||||||
B |
Std. Error |
Beta |
|
|||||||||||||||||||
1 |
(Constant) |
3.006 |
1.339 |
|
2.245 |
.036 |
|
|||||||||||||||
IM |
.765 |
.411 |
.694 |
1.981 |
.078 |
|
||||||||||||||||
EX |
2.076 |
.501 |
1.544 |
4.141 |
.001 |
|
||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
Discussion
The
growth story of the Pakistan is very remarkable throughout the development and growth
time. The growth situation of the Pakistan mostly average annually increased.
Development play an important role in the improving of peoples’ standee of
living. Through the development and growth, the living standard will be
improved. Many of the literatures state that growth has significant effect of
economy. According to the study of IMF (2005), the study is conducted on the
Pakistan economy for 45 years from the time of 1960 and 2004. The study
highlights the importance and significance of the rainfall in the area and the
investment boost of the peoples, they indicate that these both are the main
determinant at the time of increasing growth.
As
the World bank (2006), reported about the economy determinant of the Pakistani
economy and stated that the economy growth of Pakistani is possible and boost
with the help of improving the standard of education, increasing the financial
institutions and their performance, opening doors to different trades and
create a good infrastructure of public. It declines when governments execute
extreme loads on the private sector of country. Economic growth declines when
governments ensure not convey out strategies favorable to macroeconomic
constancy. An upsurge in the inflation rate, the instability of the production gap,
actual exchange rate over estimate or possibility of financial disasters all
prime to an important decrease in economic growth.
As
the result of Yuhong, Li and et. al. (2010) study, which is conducted on the
association of Import, Export and on Economic Growth. The study is conducted on
Chinee Economy. The result shows that the import of country increasing the
economic growth while the export will oppositely impact on the economy growth.
The result of Asafu-Adjaye et al (1999) study highlights the bluer result,
because the study is conducted on the economy of India and the result did not
find any evidence and not clearly highlight the relationship. According to the
work of Vohra (2001), the outcome of the study show that the export of the
economies has significant and positive relationship with Economic Growth.
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